Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 7.659163e-01 0.973250 1.205258 1.481279 1.797884 2.146990 2.558304
2025-07-20 4.860053e-01 0.748367 1.078204 1.510274 2.048496 2.684748 3.481380
2025-07-27 2.919027e-01 0.557823 0.935805 1.478799 2.206499 3.117963 4.315196
2025-08-03 1.715405e-01 0.418628 0.818323 1.445500 2.342543 3.522209 5.132799
2025-08-10 1.045436e-01 0.331398 0.748314 1.456566 2.526710 3.990274 6.049374
2025-08-17 5.604638e-02 0.248069 0.657301 1.413286 2.619569 4.332123 6.809385
2025-08-24 3.552799e-02 0.212962 0.639893 1.479805 2.873061 4.902533 7.893450
2025-08-31 1.879423e-02 0.170336 0.592792 1.484464 3.026112 5.332287 8.795912
2025-09-07 1.180497e-02 0.153352 0.595063 1.575179 3.318291 5.972402 10.008231
2025-09-14 6.416009e-03 0.133120 0.582440 1.633832 3.558710 6.542214 11.134980
2025-09-21 2.772629e-03 0.111007 0.556371 1.660364 3.743827 7.032594 12.158566
2025-09-28 6.633873e-04 0.085226 0.507964 1.631727 3.828745 7.369492 12.965619
2025-10-05 9.908022e-05 0.069753 0.485097 1.656270 4.012478 7.872789 14.040824
2025-10-12 4.326174e-07 0.055968 0.460358 1.672154 4.180514 8.356620 15.099700
2025-10-19 NaN 0.039982 0.414930 1.630645 4.237866 8.664261 15.902304
2025-10-26 NaN 0.027826 0.374045 1.591127 4.293503 8.968153 16.703864
2025-11-02 NaN 0.021109 0.353944 1.600943 4.443549 9.429616 17.753228
2025-11-09 NaN 0.013490 0.316054 1.553742 4.475219 9.693054 18.502119
2025-11-16 NaN 0.011690 0.319141 1.624172 4.748693 10.369776 19.902179
2025-11-23 NaN 0.008262 0.301328 1.628866 4.885719 10.817314 20.952343
2025-11-30 NaN 0.007715 0.312731 1.725354 5.219270 11.608515 22.552560
2025-12-07 NaN 0.006442 0.313383 1.787695 5.482683 12.284007 23.980304
2025-12-14 NaN 0.004753 0.303990 1.815876 5.673782 12.837938 25.224043